Monthly Archives: August 2014

RedState Weekly Briefing: August 31 No Strategy For ISIS, Colorado Governor Plays Politics with Death Penalty, & More!! #RSWB

weeklybriefing-header

Join us this week on the RedState Weekly Briefing as we discuss the growing threat of ISIS and the Democratic Governor of Colorado playing politics with the death penalty. As always we have Joe Cunningham, Caleb Howe, and Thomas LaDuke joining us, along with this week’s special guest, Kelly Maher.

We should be live at about 7:15 Eastern. Enjoy!

The post RedState Weekly Briefing: August 31 No Strategy For ISIS, Colorado Governor Plays Politics with Death Penalty, & More!! #RSWB appeared first on RedState.

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Barack Obama, Mary Burke (D-CAND, Wisconsin-GOV) indignantly object to news report that latter is hiding from former.

Watch national and Wisconsin Democrats backpedal, backpedal, backpedal

In addition to a Milwaukee visit on Monday, President Barack Obama will return to Wisconsin before Nov. 4 to campaign for Democratic candidate for governor Mary Burke, a party spokesman said Thursday.

The announcement made to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel came swiftly after Republicans criticized Burke for saying she couldn’t appear with Obama during his Labor Day visit to Milwaukee because it was an official stop, not a campaign event.

Burke’s campaign had strenuously objected to the GOP claims she was ducking the president because of his lackluster approval rating…

…because while it’s certainly true that the President has a lackluster approval rating, and that Mary Burke kind of hates the idea of being in the same photo frame as Barack Obama these days, well, Obama still does have supporters. And if Mary Burke insults their hero too much but being too honest about him, then Mary Burke is going to have even more electoral problems than she has right now. The dance is, as they say, delicate.

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To finish up, there are two things that are particularly amusing about this story:

  1. Barack Obama and Mary Burke are supposed to be going to the same event (Laborfest). Which makes their ability to meet up, ah, interesting.
  2. Scott Walker has no problems at all with meeting with the President, which suggests that he’s a good deal more confident in… well, everything, really …than Mary Burke is.

Via Constant ML Reader techsan.

Moe Lane (crosspost)

PS: Scott Walker for Governor.

The post Barack Obama, Mary Burke (D-CAND, Wisconsin-GOV) indignantly object to news report that latter is hiding from former. appeared first on RedState.

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At-Risk Senate Seats, 08/31/2014 edition (Includes DOOM calls).

Here is my latest At-Risk races… and there are DOOM calls. Hey, it’s Labor Day Weekend. Time to start in on that.

Alaska Mark Begich High Risk
Arkansas Mark Pryor High Risk
Colorado Mark Udall Serious Risk
Iowa Retiring High Risk
Louisiana Mary Landrieu High Risk
Michigan Retiring Some Risk
Minnesota Al Franken Low Risk
Montana Retiring DOOM
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Some Risk
New Mexico Tom Udall Off list
North Carolina Kay Hagan High Risk
Oregon Jeff Merkley Low Risk
South Dakota Retiring DOOM
Virginia Mark Warner Low Risk
West Virginia Retiring DOOM

In order:

  • Alaska: Mark Begich has one of the Dan Sullivan Collective running against him, and Begich barely won last time, and Barack Obama hates oil development. High Risk – and yes, I know about the current polling. Incumbents at 46% with Begich’s disadvantages should be grateful for a lack of DOOM.
  • Arkansas: Mark Pryor is behind in the aggregate polling and he’s stuck with a Democratic identity is a state that is trending less Democratic every year. High Risk.
  • Colorado: Mark Udall is far too close to Cory Gardner in the polls for Democrats to be comfortable here, and all of the polls are over a month old. Serious Risk, but wait a month: this is the most volatile ranking on this list.
  • Iowa: …Wow, Bruce Braley is a very bad candidate, huh? The way that he has pretty much thrown away what should have been a gimme lead makes this race High Risk, shading on DOOM.
  • Louisiana: Mary Landrieu’s major hope is that she gets above 50% in the first wave, because if there’s a runoff she’s toast. Louisiana has also been trending Republican ever since Hurricane Katrina and Democrats hate oil production. High Risk.
  • Michigan: I originally had this at ‘Serious Risk,’ but the polling is reasonably current and favors Gary Peters. But he’s below 50% and the election season is now starting in earnest. Some Risk.
  • Minnesota: Al Franken keeps polling above 50%, dagnabbit. The only reason why I’m not taking this race off of the list is because he won by such a horrible margin last time and the race can in fact still implode. Low Risk.
  • Montana. The existing candidate had to withdraw after a plagiarism scandal – and the Democrats then picked a Wobbly. That is not a euphemism. DOOM.
  • New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen doesn’t have an official opponent, and there’s a single, most recent poll out that shows Scott Brown within striking distance, so let’s not collapse the state vector on this one quite yet. Some Risk.
  • New Mexico: I have to take Tom Udall …read more