Voters around the country will head into Election Day prepared to end their love affair with Barack Obama. Republicans should be cautious in how they interpret the voters’ mixed signals.
First, it is important to understand the president’s delusions. A series of reports have come out that the White House believes Democrats should embrace the president. Never mind that only a month ago White House aides said the president would be fine if Democrats campaigned against him. It appears the president is still taking it personally. One almost expects President Obama to announce publicly that these Democrats will deny him three times before the rooster crows on Election Day morning.
“He doesn’t think they have any reason to run away from him. He thinks there is a strong message there,” a White House official told the Washington Post’s Karen Tumulty. But everything on the ground shows how much further the Democrats should have run away. In Kentucky, the Democrats’ candidate Allison Grimes refuses to say if she voted for Barack Obama. In Colorado, both the Democrats’ Sen. Tom Udall (D-NM)Heritage ActionScorecardSen. Tom UdallSenate Democrat AverageSee Full Scorecard0% and Gov. Hickenlooper look set for defeat. Both wrapped their arms around Obamacare, and now both are running from it as quickly as possible.
A very visible reminder of the President’s baggage showed up in polling averages in the Georgia Senate race. Democrat Michelle Nunn outspent Republican David Perdue for most of the past month in the metropolitan Atlanta area. Polling showed her surge as David Perdue declined. Republicans nationally freaked out that they could lose Georgia. But that all changed on Oct. 22, 2012.
That day, President Obama went on V-103, the most popular radio station in Atlanta’s black community. He urged voters to support Michelle Nunn. He said his agenda could not be carried out without Michelle Nunn in the Senate. On that day, Michelle Nunn’s support in polling averages surpassed that of David Perdue.
The next day, Republicans began running ads with President Obama’s statement. They coupled those ads with an earlier statement from Michelle Nunn that she would defer to the president on issues. Nunn’s surge came to an end and gravity took over. In less than 48 hours from President Obama’s radio appearance, David Perdue retook the lead in the polls.
As President Obama’s support collapses and more national polls show …read more